Olympic Park free essay sample

Business case: The Olympic and Paralympics Games are one of a kind in the wearing schedule and get tremendous TV seeing figures just as numerous honors. TV Coverage and Public Awareness: The Sydney Paralympics Games were the most broadcast, raising open mindfulness. The Atlanta 1996 Games sold their media rights for $0. 5million and the Sydney 2000 Games sold their Paralympics Media rights for $4. 1million â€Å"The Olympic Games have consistently risen above game. As people and countries they raise every one of us †competitors and observers the same †to a higher plane. (Payne 2005) The Olympic park goes about as the focal point of the game; alongside the reality of guaranteeing there is enduring heritage for the economy and the more extensive network. For London, the Olympic park venture gives the chance to recover an overlooked region and leave an inheritance. Lower Lea Valley of East London is known for its young, different populace, yet in addition its abandoned modern land, high joblessness, and poor availability. The city’s objective is to utilize imaginative plan to not just make an exceptional Olympic climate for the 7. million onlookers, yet in addition to desert a supportable, renewed network comprised of new stops, homes, work business openings, sports offices, and transport joins. Olympic Stadium this focal points of Olympic Park includes an astute plan that will add to the feasible inheritance of The Games. It will have games just as the initial shutting functions and will later be changed over into a littler limit setting for network occasions. The arena is structured as a depressed bowl uncovered from underneath the dirt with the playing field and lower perpetual seating incorporated with the ground to permit observers a superior perspective on the activity. Seats, the imaginative structure will permit the 55,000 upper level seats to be demountable, leaving a 25,000 seat lasting wearing scene after the Games. For example, Barcelona is comprehended to be among the best urban areas as far as inheritance. As a feature of its fruitful advancement of its picture and foundation towards turning into a key European center point †and a recharged place for worldwide the travel industry and culture, the city has additionally observed (as an outcome) gigantic house cost and rental expansion (131% between 1987-1992), and the rise of a huge populace of affluent global occupant/guests and property financial specialists profiting by long haul framework ventures more legitimately than some nearby populaces, whose entrance to lodging and employments might not have altogether improved. London 2012 gives a novel chance to deliver obstructions to change, target hard to arrive at gatherings and model new perspectives and practices. In any case, inheritance procedures should be implanted in existing projects and arrangement regions to make progress in the long haul and genuine advantages to interest gave. As Carbonnell (2005) proposes, drawing basically on the Barcelona experience, For any city, facilitating the Olympic Games is both a respect and a test. A great part of the framework required is impermanent in nature; it just fills a need for the term of the Games themselves. Barcelona adopted an extremely obvious strategy on this issue: the point was to attempt driven ventures which would profit the city all in all, persuaded that what was useful for the city’s occupants would likewise be useful for the Olympic family. (Carbonell 2005: 8-9). Possibility Study: Problem: Olympic spending breakdown: The financial plan has ascended to ? 9. 3bn from the first ? 4bn at the hour of the offer in July 2005. The administration attributes the ascent to expansion, possibility costs and the option of the Value Added Tax (VAT). Wellsprings of salary for such an enormous bill: expected pay in millions ? Government 6,000 TV promoting bargains 560 Sponsorship official providers 450 Ticket incomes 300 London Development Agency 250 Licensing 60 London board citizens different supports National Lottery However, Operating and framework costs surpass unique offer projections in all past four host urban areas examined. A city readies its offer trying to win the IOC rivalry; the triumphant of the opposition is an unmistakable exercise from the real planning for the occasion. Opportunity: as a byproduct of the exorbitant financial plan, the Park will be the biggest urban park made in Europe for a long time and will bring long haul social, monetary and ecological recovery to the zone of Lower Lea Valley. Between 30 35 new extensions and new rail connections will be worked to cause the region more to entomb associated. The Olympic Park site after the Games will have Riverside lodging, shops, eateries and bistros, new comforts for the neighborhood network. The people group encompassing the Park will appreciate access to the open space through a system of trench towpaths, pathways and cycle ways. An expected ? 4 billion supporter of the London economy is conjecture for the capital preceding and during the London 2012 Games. The Games will concentrate consideration on London and draw guests from around the world. Sydney is as yet receiving the rewards from the ascent in the travel industry in 2001 Sydney profited by ? 2. 3 billion of the travel industry spend and the Games produced around ? 1. billion in new business benefits, including new games framework and administration contracts. What is the arrangement? The Games gives a critical impetus to reestablishment; quickening the fruition of foundation ventures (Barcelona 1992, Atlanta 1996, Athens 2004 and all the more humbly Sydney 2000) It will give London the chance to impalpably re-brand itself as a goal which will expand the possibility of internal speculation and upgrade innovative certainty and mastery, a case of this was the (Barcelona 1992). Venture contract: The vision for this task is to make the UK a world-class donning country, as far as first class achievement, mass investment and school sport, To change the core of East London, to motivate another age of youngsters to partake in neighborhood chipping in, social and physical movement, To make the Olympic Park an outline for feasible living and show that the UK is an innovative, comprehensive and inviting spot to live in, to visit and for business. The principle venture objective is to build up an extent of work that when executed will desert a feasible, renewed network comprised of new stops, homes, work and business openings, sports offices and transport joins. Undertaking Scope: ?Taking the chance to recover an overlooked zone. ?To leave a heritage as history’s greenest Olympic to date. ?For the London 2012 Olympic Games to leave an enduring social, financial and ecological inheritance for London and the U. K, while limiting some other antagonistic effect.

Ngos Help Or Hindrance Essays - Civil Affairs,

Ngos: Help Or Hindrance? NGOs: Help or Hindrance? In his article, John McCormick builds up that the quantity of NGOs present on the planet today likely exists well into the six figures (P. 60). Expecting that the job of NGOs is to hold legislative associations under wraps with regards to natural issues, it disappointed me to feel that there really could be such issues with ecological issues. Surely a huge number of such associations must have the option to control the earth in a productive way so to hold the serious issues under wraps, correct? Yet, I before long discovered that the NGOs themselves, are frequently degenerate in their participation and may really ruin the guideline of natural gauges. Prior to assaulting these NGOs, their particular commitments to natural securities must be built up. It appears that NGOs made the most critical increases at and after the Stockholm meeting. They built up explicit practices that were planned for securing nature at national levels, yet universally. NGOs went about as liasons between countries with elective perspectives. In particular, these NGOs were built up to impart the objectives of such gatherings as Stockholm and the Brundtland Commission, and to pressure participating countries into accomplishing these objectives without the sort of weight that would make disarray among the countries. Key to the development of NGOs was the quick progression of correspondence innovation. Not exclusively did these advances in correspondence help to fabricate more grounded bonds among NGOs, yet it additionally prodded on the development of umbrella bodies for littler nearby associations. The Phillipines alone have 18,000 NGOs (McCormick 59). I find that this colossal number of NGOs, while from the outset may appear to be useful, in all likelihood demonstration to contradict one another. In a nation the size of the Phillipines, I think that its difficult to accept, anyway earth mindful its kin are, that there can exist such a large number of discrete gatherings battling for a comparative reason. Which carries me to the constraints of the NGOs. It appears that with such a large number of associations overall moving in the direction of bettering the earth, there does not have a general solidarity restricting the gatherings together to arrive at a shared objective. Similarly as legislative organizations have run into issues globally with regards to conceding to ecological issues, NGOs have run over comparable hindrances in their endeavor to secure the earth. The standard contention of northern industrialized perspectives contradicting those of the rising southern beliefs can be seen at the degree of NGOs too. So now, rather than governments contending over ecological limitations and stipends, the NGOs have participated in the battle. Does this necessarilly support the circumstance? In all probability the appropriate response is no. Indeed, the NGOs might be going about as salt in wounds that are as of now dying. Some portion of the issue with these varying perspectives is the arrangements of Federations inside the limits of global NGOs. While the joining of numerous NGOs improves correspondence and purposes of contact, they likewise upset .. Social Issues

Writing A Persuasive Essay Topic For Grade 7

Writing A Persuasive Essay Topic For Grade 7There are many compelling ways to write a persuasive essay topic for grade 7. You should start thinking about a persuasive essay topic before you begin preparing it, because this is something that can greatly affect your grades. It is important that you choose one that will impress the teacher or your parents, and you'll find that this can be easier said than done.One of the things that makes writing persuasive essay topics for grade 7 easy is that you have so many choices to work with. In school you will find that there are only a few courses that are taught in various subjects and the students will study the same thing every single day. If you have a list of ideas that you can bring up in class, you will find that you can think of much more different things. Even if you are not certain how you will discuss something, you can always do a research online. Once you have a few resources you can bring up at the beginning of your essay, then yo u can get right to the point.Many students, especially those that take language arts courses, are excited to learn about persuasive essay topics for grade 7. These topics usually revolve around persuasive writing and the use of words to persuade someone to do something. This is a topic that is very useful for students who want to be published and can use this essay topic for grades 7 to make the grade they need. Once you learn more about these topics, you will understand why it is important to take the time to prepare a persuasive essay topic for grade 7.Many high school teachers love writing essays that relate to a topic they have already studied. Sometimes this is because the topic is an area that they have learned a lot about in school. Sometimes it is because the topic is a subject that is very important to the school, and even though it may not be covered in the main curriculum, it is important to their students.In order to write a persuasive essay for grades 7, you must show h ow the topic relates to your school or studies. Some of the things that are often covered in writing a persuasive essay for grades 7 include: language, grammar, and writing. In many cases these topics are easy to write about and there are words that help a lot when creating a persuasive essay topic for grade 7. With the right combination of concepts you can make the topic fun and interesting.In most cases a persuasive essay for grade 7 will consist of ideas that will persuade the reader to do something they might not otherwise do. The ideas might include changing the way they shop, donating to a charity, joining a team, joining a country club, or anything else that will benefit the writer. Of course, as the writer, you must research the topic and find out what is important to your school. When you have found all the resources you need, then you will be able to move forward with your persuasive essay topics for grade 7.So now you know the type of things that make writing persuasive e ssay topics for grades 7 easy. If you want to learn more about this topic, you can take classes in writing at school or read some of the writing guides that are available online.

Research On The Two Types Of Ppp Finance Essay - Free Essay Example

Sample details Pages: 24 Words: 7174 Downloads: 6 Date added: 2017/06/26 Category Finance Essay Type Narrative essay Did you like this example? There are two forms of purchasing power parity. The first one is according to the theory of law of one price which states that, the cost of an identical products sold in different countries should be the same expressing a common currency. The other one is the relative version of PPP, assumption of transport costs and imperfect competition are being considered in this version. Don’t waste time! Our writers will create an original "Research On The Two Types Of Ppp Finance Essay" essay for you Create order Gustav Cassel started the first research on PPP in 1918, nowadays, the theory of PPP have applied on international finance widely. Policy maker viewed PPP as a significant indicator regard to the performance of domestic currency against the foreign currencies and used it to forecast the movement of exchange rate in long run. The purchasing power parity theory acts a key part in macroeconomic policy decision made by government. Within the project, the Purchasing Power Parity for Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea will be analysis, where Hong Kong is the domestic country. The economy of Hong Kong itself heavily depends on trade and financial services, base on her well known free trade and low tax rate system. Hong Kong nowadays was developed as the financial, trading and shipping centre of Asia. Besides of Mainland China, Japan is one of the largest trading partners with Hong Kong. Therefore, I will test Hong Kong against Japan. In order to make a comparison, I will also test Hong Kong against South Korea. The reason that I chose South Korea is because both economies are the member of Four Asian Tigers, they maintaining exceptionally high growth rates and rapid industrialization between the early 1960s and 1990s. Therefore I will test Hong Kong against South Korea, base on the similar nature of the economy between two regions. Nevertheless, according to studies did in the recent past, the topic itself showed different results. But, most of the studies do agreed that real exchange rates can be generally estimated in long run. Through the stationarity analysis and cointegration analysis, I can show whether PPP holds between Hong Kong and Japan, as well as Hong Kong and South Korea. Literature review The University of Pennsylvania (commonly referred to as Penn) documented a series of studies on a modern relationship between income and price known as Penn Effect  [1]  . The main findings shows that, between high and low income countries, the real income ratios are systematically exaggerated by gross domestic product (GDP) conversion at market exchange rates. . This is because; countries with higher incomes consistently had higher prices of domestically produced goods relative to prices of goods included in the exchange rate. Applying this logic to the project, PPP of the countries with similar income are more likely to hold. Therefore, PPP for Hong Kong and South Korea should hold in the long run. The Big Mac Index  [2]  is an example for explaining the concept of purchasing power parity in an informal way and economists widely cite the index as a reasonable real world measurement of PPP. The method of obtaining the Big Mac PPP exchange rate is dividing the price of a Big Mac in the home country (in its currency) by the price of a Big Mac in the foreign country (in its currency). If the value is lower than the actual exchange rate, it implies that the home currency is under-valued, compared with the foreign. In the other hand, if the value is high than the actual exchange rate, it means that the home currency is over-valued. Through the Big Mac Index we may know how well each currency against the dollars, nevertheless, the performance of PPP between the home currencies against dollar itself was not been showed. The reason for this can be the ingredient of making a Big Mac. As both traded and non-traded goods are used in the process, but in different countries, non-traded goods such as labour cost may various. At McDonald UK, a working staff may receive higher wage than a working stuff in China, which means other input cost for the Big Mac may have variation; therefore, the Big Mac price is different in two countries. Theory of Purchasing Power Parity By applying Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory, policy makers are able to make forecasts of the long run trend of exchange. There are two different forms of Purchasing Power Parity, which is absolute and relative version. According to the basic theorem of purchasing power parity, which states that one unit of home currency could purchase the same amount of goods in both domestic and foreign country. It ignored some distortions such as transport costs and imperfect competition which implies that absolute PPP are unlikely to hold. The law of one price is derived from the idea of perfect arbitrage. It states that all identical goods should have equal amount of price in a competitive market. Base on the PPP theory, arbitrage will occur due to an agent try to construct a profit through exchange rate transaction. For instance, a can of coke worth 50p in Britain and in France is ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã… ¡Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ¬1, and then the exchange rate is  ¿Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ¡0.5/ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€ š ¬Ã… ¡Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ¬1. Nevertheless, if the exchange rate is lower, means that sterling has appreciated against Euros. As a result, sterling is more valuable, and people can use the same amount of pounds to consume more coke in France. As people try to make yield through buying sterling, the exchange rate will move back to the original equilibrium level in long run. That is recognized as the absolute PPP. The absolute PPP: S represent nominal exchange rate, p for domestic price and p* for the foreign price. The relative price of the two currencies is represented by the nominal exchange rate. Absolute PPP are unlikely to hold because of several assumptions such as the existence of administrative cost and different types of imperfect competitions are being ignored. This is the reason for the existence of other version of PPP called the relative PPP. Some of the distortions such as transportation costs were taken into account by the theory of relative PPP. In the recent past, some studies showed that, even taking distortions into consideration, the relative version do hold in the long run. The relative PPP: In the relative version of PPP, S stand for the change of the nominal exchange rates in percentage; P for the change in price of domestic country in percentage and P* for the change in price of foreign country in percentage. According to the relative PPP formula above, adjustment of the exchange rates will be made due to the inflation discrepancy between the two countries. The common model for testing PPP through regression study: St = logged exchange rate, Pt= logged domestic price P*t= logged foreign price Ut= error term showing deviation from PPP. In a short conclusion, the theory of PPP show the way of determining exchange rate by checking the percentage change in domestic price and foreign price. The exchange rate performance within two economies is tracked by the economic modeling of purchasing power parity. The countrys perf ormance on trade can be estimated by policymaker if they understand how the PPP theory works. Beside of that, up to date monetary and fiscal policies could be made. Descriptive Data analysis The data I used in the project are mainly collected from GMID (Global Market Information Database) and Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department. The exchange rate and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of both home and foreign country are the main variables of the PPP Econometric model. I have collected the exchange rate as well as the Consumer Price Index from Hong Kong, South Korea and Japan. The time period of the data is 1980-2009, all of the figures are annual average. The data in monthly and quarterly was not being used due to seasonality and avoiding dishonesty in my findings. In order to make sure the fairness of the test, all the annual data of CPI was being adjusted and the base year of it was set as 2005 automatically. From the Figure 1 of appendix, the actual value of the consumer price index for all three economies is being described. The Hong Kong economy achieved a rapid growth from 1980-1997. Start from 1980s, Hong Kong focus in developing services sector such a s financial services, real estate, insurance, brokering and banking, in late 1980, Hong Kong is being one of the largest financial markets in the world. Nevertheless, in 1997, Hong Kong is in the same situation like many other South East Asian countries which suffered in the financial crisis. Consumer confidence is being damaged significantly which reflect by the plunge in the consumer price index. Up until the end of 2003, the consumer price index starts to rebound. The CPI of Japan increased steadily from 1981 to 1990, but in late 1990s, the growth slowed obviously. Some economists believe that it is because the failure of bank of Japan cut interest rates rapidly enough to offset after-effects of burst of investment bubble during the late of 1980s. Start from the late 80s, Japan mainly specialized in developing manufacturing industry such as electronic and car industry. Until 90s, the developments of its manufacturing industry are highly successful. From the figure 1.2, we c an see that Japans economy affected by the Asian financial crisis is far from the other South East Asian countries. From figure 1.3, the South Korea consumer price index maintains a steady growth throughout 1980 to 2009, even though it has been suffer in financial crisis in 1997. South Korea experienced a rapid industrialization since 1980s, therefore we believe that the main force for supporting its growth is by attracting huge amount of foreign direct investments and a large volume of trade. Nowadays, the economy of South Korean is ranked the fourth in Asia and 15th of universe. Figure 2 shows the fluctuation of the exchange rates within Hong Kong and Japan, and also Hong Kong and South Korea. From Figure 2.1, since 1980 to 1995, the Hong Kong dollar had continued to depreciate against the Japanese dollar reaching HK$0.08/Yen ¿Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ¥ In 1995, when the yen strike an all time peak the dollar, valuing Japans economy slightly larger than the United States in nominal GD P. Japan becomes the largest economy in world for just a short period of time due to that. The Japanese dollar started to depreciate in order to aid its export. In 1997, Hong Kong had suffered in the financial crisis, the Hong Kong dollar depreciated against Japanese dollar. From 2000-2009, the Hong Kong dollar against the Japanese dollar had fluctuated between 0.65 to 0.80 From Figure 2.2, since 1980-1989, the Hong Kong dollar against the South Korea Won had continued to depreciate reaching HK$0.012/SKW 1. After 1990, Hong Kong dollar began to appreciate up till 1997. In 1997, Both Hong Kong and South Korea were suffered in Asia financial crisis. After that, the South Korea Won had appreciated again as its economy started to recuperate. Stationarity analysis The theory of stationarity states that if the process of stochastic is strictly stationary, the probability law of the data is not time dependent. It means if any consecutive subset of the time series is being taken, its joint distribution function is identical to any other subsets. This implies a stationary series will have both finite variance and constant mean. Therefore, the time series mean will be independent to time t. If we use the non-stationary time series data to compute the analysis, spurious regression will be given by the misleading result. From Figure 3.1, 3.2 3.3, analysis within my data are showed by the correlogram. The data is being logged in order to check for randomness. I run the analysis with 3 lag values. If the data exceeds the critical value of 0.36, then the data itself is non-stationary All my data showed in above figure are being logged and non-stationary. If the data is stationary, the correlogram and its lag value will come up with close to zero. The graphs of spectral density from figure 4.1, 4.2 4.3, showed that there is a non-stationary sign such as zero peak and had dramatically decline from 0 to 0.5 within three countries. These imply that all the logged variables for CPI are non stationary. As seen in Figure 5, the correlogram analysis of CPI showed the logged variables of exchange rates are non-stationary because all the values are exceed the critical value line. The spectral density for the exchange rates in Figure 6 shows that there is also non-stationary sign such as zero peak, and radically decline from 0.0 to 0.5. Therefore, through correlogram and spectral density analysis, all the logged data for Consumer Price Index and the foreign exchange rates could be concluded as non-stationary. Stationarity analysis at I(0) In appendix Table 1, all the data are gathered and analysis by the software PC GIVE. For the log variable of Hong Kong CPI, the lowest AIC value is -7.413 and its corresponding t-adf value is -1.787 at lag 1. That is not within the 5% critical value, therefore, my null hypothesis cannot be rejected. Thus, the data itself is said to be non-stationary. For the log variable of Japan CPI, the lowest AIC value is -9.322 and its corresponding t-adf value is -2.000 at lag 1. That is not within the 5% critical value and that means I cannot reject the null hypothesis. Thus, the data itself is also said to be non-stationary. For the log variable of South Korea CPI, the lowest AIC value is -7.980 and its corresponding t-adf value is -1.718 at lag 1. My null hypothesis cannot be rejected because the t-adf value is not within the 5% critical region, therefore, the data itself is said to be non stationary. Throughout the unit root analysis above, Both Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea have non-stationary data. This is same as the visual analysis. Nevertheless, I will still using further plot to check whether the data are stationary or not. According to Figure 7, all the logged variables of CPI are being plotted. All of them are seem to be converged around 2005. The reason for that is because the CPI is all adjusted to a base year equal to 2005. The definition of stationarity states that the mean should independent to time t. Therefore, the result of the unit-root test in previous should be rejected because all values are showed to be non-stationary at I (0). For the exchange rate LHKD/YEN, the lowest AIC value is -4.682 and its corresponding t-adf value is -3.264. the result is within the 5% critical value. Therefore, the LHK per Yen is said to be stationary. That is contradicting with the visual judgment I worked in previous. For the exchange rate LHKD/WON, the lowest AIC value is -4.214 and its corresponding AIC value is -1.081. This shows that it is not within the 5% critical value region, therefore, data is said to be non-stationary. This is same as the visual analysis I did before. All my variables are showed to be non-stationary through the unit root test and the graphical analysis,. In order to precede the further analysis of stationarity, I should carry on the test on the first difference of the data. Stationarity analysis I(1) From Appendix Table 2, it shows the result of first differencing with 4 lag values in the unit root test. The null hypothesis is showed to be larger than -3.00 at 5% critical value, and my alternative hypothesis will be showed to be lower than -3.00 at 5% critical value. Base on the result for first difference of log value of Hong Kong CPI, the least AIC value is -7.438 and its corresponding t-adf value is -0.9655 at 0 lag. This value is not within the 5% critical value region. Thus, my null hypothesis cannot be rejected which implies that my log data for Hong Kong CPI is still non-stationary at first difference level. From Figure 8, it shows the analysis of the variable for log Hong Kong CPI in first difference level in correlogram and the spectral density. Both of the analysis support the previous unit root test result, therefore, the variable is still to be showed as non-stationary. From Figure 9, the actual value of the HK CPI at first difference level is plotted. Ther e is not much fluctuations were showed in the graph within the series, therefore, the previous result of unit root test is supported by that. Within the graph, we may see that the Asia financial crisis in 1997 is being reflected by the outlier. Base on the result for first difference of log value of Japan CPI, the least AIC value is -9.201 and its corresponding t-adf value is -2.125. The value is not within the 5% critical value region. Thus, my null hypothesis cannot be rejected and the data is said to be still non-stationary. From Figure 10, it shows the analysis of the variable of log Japan CPI in first difference level in correlogram and the spectral density. Both of the analysis support the previous unit root test result, therefore, the variable is still to be showed as non-stationary. In figure 11, the actual value plot of the DLJAPCPI shows that the variable has some characteristics of stationarity as there is several degree of fluctuation around the mean. Base on the result for first difference of log value of South Korea CPI, the least AIC value is is -7.902 and its corresponding t-adf value is -2.863 at lag 0. The value is not within the 5% critical value region. Thus, my null hypothesis cannot be rejected and the data is said to be still non-stationary. Nevertheless, from Figure 12, characteristic of stationarity are showed in my correlogram and the spectral density analysis, this contradicts my previous unit root test result. The actual value of the DLSKRCPI is plotted in Figure 13, characteristics of stationarity are showed in the graph as several fluctuations are around the mean. It contradicts the unit root test I worked in previous. Therefore, second difference level of the data is needed to be analysed in order to check whether the variable are stationarity or not. For the log exchange rate for HKD/YEN in first difference level, the lowest AIC value is -4.345 and its corresponding t-adf value is -3.540at lag 0. The value i s within the 5% critical value, Therefore the null hypothesis is needed to be rejected, implies that the HKD/YEN is stationary. The correlogram and the spectral density in Figure 14 both support the result above, as characteristic of stationarity is showed to be within the variable. Figure 15, is the actual value plot of the DLHKD/YEN. Characteristics of stationarity are shown in the graph as we can see there are several degrees of fluctuations around the mean. Thus, the previous result of the unit root test are being supported. In order to check the stationarity, further analysis is needed to carry on the second difference level for the variable. For the log exchange for HKD/KRW in first difference level, the lowest AIC value is -4.151 and its corresponding t-adf value is -3.875. Again, I need to reject my null hypothesis which means the HKD/KRW is stationary. In Figure 16, it shows the analysis of the I(1) of the variable of log HKD/KRW in first difference level in cor relogram and the spectral density. Characteristics of stationarity within the variable are shown in graph. Therefore, the previous result for unit root test is being supported. The actual value of DLHKD/KRW is being plotted in Figure 17, The plot showed some characteristics of stationarity as there is several degree of fluctuations around the mean. There is a noticeable shock exists within the data which started from 1995 up until 1998, which can be explained the Asian Financial crisis. Stationarity Analysis for I(2) From Appendix Table 3, all the log variables are being analyses in second difference level through unit root test. For the log variables of CPI for Hong Kong in second difference level, the lowest AIC value is -7.376 and its corresponding t-adf value is -3.340. It means I could reject my null hypothesis and accept the alternative one as the value is within the 5% critical value region. Thus, the log variable of CPI for Hong Kong at second difference level is shown to be stationary. In Figure 18, the log variables in second differencing are shown in the correlogram and the spectral density graph. It shows stationarity within the graph, and this supported the previous result of the unit root test. In Figure 19, the actual value of the variable are plotted. The graph showed some characteristics of stationarity as there is several degrees of fluctuations around the mean. Nevertheless, two excessive shocks were shown within the graph. The first one exists from 1997-1999, which can be explained the Asian Financial crisis. The other one exist start from 2007, which can be explained the worldwide financial crunch. For the log variables of Japan CPI in second difference level, the lowest AIC value is -9.049 and its corresponding t-adf value -4.226. It means I could reject my null hypothesis and accept the alternative one as the value is within the 5% critical value region. Thus, the log variable of CPI for Japan at second difference level is shown to be stationary. In Figure 20, the log variable of Japan CPI in second difference level is shown in the correlogram and the spectral density graph. Characteristic of stationarity exists in both graphs within the second differencing. My previous result for unit root test is being supported. In Figure 21, is the actual value of the variable are being plotted. There are several fluctuations shown around the mean. Within the plot, we may discover that there is one excessive shock. Japan suffered considerably f rom a recession in 2007 and its consumer confidence is being affected significantly, which is reflected by the actual value plot. For the log variable of South Korea CPI in the second difference level, the lowest AIC value is -7.711 and its corresponding t-adf value is -6.907. It means I could reject my null hypothesis and accept the alternative one as the value is within the 5% critical value region. Thus, the log variable of CPI for South Korea at second difference level is shown to be stationary. In Figure 22, the log variables of South Korea CPI are shown in the correlogram and the spectral density graph. Characteristic of stationarity do exists in both graphs within the second differencing. It means my previous result for unit root test is being supported. In Figure 23, the log variable of South Korea CPI in second difference level is being plotted. Within The graph, we may also discover that several fluctuation are around the mean, this is the characteristic of stationar ity. Nevertheless, there is one outlier we believe that is caused by Asia Financial Crisis that occurred in 1997. In that year, the economy of South Korea was suffered significantly from a recession. For the analysis of the exchange rates in second difference level, the lowest AIC value for HKD/YEN is -4.622 and its corresponding t-adf value is -6.008. This is within the 5% critical value region. Therefore I can reject my null hypothesis, therefore the data is said to be stationary. In Figure 24, the log variables of exchange rate for HKD/YEN in second difference level are shown in the correlogram and the spectral density. Stationarity are existed within the both graphs and these do support my unit test result. In Figure 25, the actual value of the exchange rate in second difference level is plotted, Characteristic of stationarity are shown within the series as there is several degree of fluctuations around the mean. I believe that the excessive shocks were caused by the As ia Financial Crisis which happened in 1997 and this also support my previous result. For the the log variables of exchange rate HKD/KRW in second difference level, the lowest AIC value is -3.779 and its corresponding t-adf value is -5.497. I could reject my null hypothesis and accept the alternative one as the value is within the 5% critical value region. Thus, the data at second difference level is shown to be stationary. In Figure 26, the correlogram and the spectral density graphs shows analysis for the variable for the exchange rate. As the variable are shown to be stationary with both graphs, which support my previous analysis in the unit root test In Figure 27, the actual value of the exchange is being plotted. Several degrees of fluctuations were shown around the mean. Thus, exchange rate is said to be stationarity. Same as the previous actual value plot, one excessive shock was showed within the graph. Through the analysis of the log variable in second difference level, all the data are shown to be stationary at I(2). Ordinary Least Square Estimation and Cointegration Analysis and its interpretation In this section, the performance of the PPP will be analysed by the econometric modelling. The tool which will be used is the Cointegration analysis, in concurrence with the residual from the Ordinary Least Square estimation. Cointegration may be formally defined as: The components of the vector Xt are said to be cointegrated of order d,b (denoted Xt ~ (I(d,b)) if: All components of Xt are I(d) There exists a vector ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±(ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  0) such that Zt = ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ± Xt ~ I(d-b) b0 For instance, if a set of variables are said to be time dependent. However, through cointegration analyse, it can be said that they are cointegrated at the order of (d,b) if a stationary error term is given out. Take the above equation as an example, Yt and Xt can be non-stationary variable. Nevertheless, in case both Yt and Xt are cointegrated, the error term ut can still be stationary. Through the cointegration process, the non-stationary degree will be eliminated. This implies that misleading analysis will not be given out. My testable hypothesis: In logs: Strong form (absolute PPP) ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±=0 ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1=1 ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2=-1 Weaker form: ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±ÃƒÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  0 ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1= ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  1 so that: Weak form ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±ÃƒÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  0 ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚   ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  1 so that: With ut such that the relationship is stable in time. Through augmented Dickey-Fuller test, Durbin-Watson test, MacKinnon critical values and several graphical analysis, the residual from the OLS estimation will be exanimate. Thus, if the residual is stationary, we can assume the theory of PPP is being supported by the regression in long run. In order to ensure my accuracy of the analysis, the cointegrating regression Durbin-Watson (CRDW) test is introduced . The CRDW test suggests that if the series with no autocorrelation, then the DW value will go to two. In roughly speaking, if the Durbin-watson statistic is substantially less than 2, it shows there is a positive correlation of the data; If the value is substantially larger than 2, It shows there is successive error terms which are negatively correlated. In regressions, this mean there is an underestimation of the statistical significance level. Analysis for Hong Kong and Japan In Table 4, the results for Hong Kong against Japan through the OLS estimation are showed. The result of DW statistic is 0.718. The regression may contain autocorrelation. Therefore, we may know the price and the exchange rate is not co-integrated. The R-square of the regression is 0.853751. The regression may have perfect predictability if it contains with a R-square equal to 1. So, in this table, 0.853751 implies that PPP is well predicting in these two countries. The coefficient of log variable for CPI of Hong Kong (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) and CPI of Japan (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2) is -0.0919722 and 4.62565 respectively. However, the domestic economy Hong Kong shows the positive signs of coefficient and the coefficient of Japan is negative. A weak form of PPP IS appeared as ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  -ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  1. In Table 5, the result of the ADF test is showed. The lowest AIC value is -4.526 and its corresponding t-adf v alue is -3.674. This means it failed to reach the 1% critical region, therefore it seems to have stationary within analysis. In order to check whether there is cointegration for the level terms. Additional graphical analysis is needed. In Figure 28, the test for the residual at I(0) is shows by the correlogram and the spectral density. Although characteristics of stationary are shown in the results of the ADF test, that is contradicted by the graphical analysis. Base on the correlogram graphical analysis, the first lag is above the critical value. In the ADF test, the correspondent t-adf value in lag 0 is -2.183, which is within the 5% critical value. Thus, the regression shows weak stationarity and co-integration do not exists between the consumer price index and the exchange rate. From Figure 29, The actual value of the residual at I(0) is plotted. There are not much fluctuations around the mean in the plot and also showed that there is no cointegration within the level term s, The ADF test and the graphical analysis do support that result. Therefore, The Ordinary Least Square estimation is needed to carry out at first difference level I(1). In Table 6, the OLS results for Hong Kong and Japan at first difference level I(1) is showed. It may contain autocorrelation within the regression as the result of DW statistic is 1.64. Nevertheless, through the CRDW test, there is a possibility of cointegration at I(1). The R-Square is 0.229002, which means the analysis is not a high-quality indicator for tracking the the performance of the PPP for Hong Kong and Japan. The coefficient of log variable of Hong Kong CPI (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) and the log variable of Japan CPI DLJAP CPI (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) is 0.377666 and -0.640497 respectively. In this analysis, the sign of the coefficient matched my expectation as a positive coefficient is given out by the domestic economy Hong Kong and a negative coefficient is given out by the foreign country Japan. For Table 7, the unit root test showed the result for residuals of Hong Kong against Japan at first difference level, the lowest AIC value is -4.335 and its corresponding t-adf value is -3.579. As the t-adf value is within the 5% critical value. Thus, Xt and Yt are showed to be cointegrated in the unit root test. Further graphical analysis will carry out as follow. In figure 30, the regression for Hong Kong against Japan is showed to be cointegrated at first difference level through the correlogram and the spectral density graph. This graphical analysis do support my previous result of augmented Dickey-Fuller test. In Figure 31, the actual value of the residual at first difference level is plotted. Several degrees of fluctuations are shown around the mean within the plot. Which implies that there is a cointegration. Analysis for Hong Kong and South Korea In Table 8, the results for Hong Kong against South Korea through the OLS estimation are showed. The result of the DW statistics is 0.485. the estimation may contain autocorrelation. Through the interpretation of the CRDW test, there is no cointegration among the two variables within the figure. In Table 9, the unit root test shows the result of the residual that Hong Kong against South Korea. The lowest AIC value is -4.386 and its corresponding t-adf value is -2.345. I cannot reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative as the value is within the 5% critical value. Thus, no cointegration is shown within the estimation. The R-square of the regression is 0.712697. As I mentioned in previous part, if a regression contain a R-square that close or equals to 1, it implies the regression itself may have a higher predictability. In this analysis, the R-square is closer to 1, Therefore, the regression is believed to be consistent. The coefficient of log variable of HK CPI (ÃÆ' Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) and log variable of South Korea CPI (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2) is 0.386482 and -0.680975 respectively. In this time, the signs of the coefficients matched my expectation as the domestic economy shows the positive sign and the foreign economy shows the negative sign. A weak form of PPP is appears as ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  -ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚  1. In Figure 32, the correlogram and the spectral density graph shows the analysis of the the residual from cointegration analysis of Hong Kong against South Korea. My previous result for ADF test is being supported by the correlogram, It shows that the exchange rate and consumer price index is not cointegrated. Nonetheless, according to the analysis of the spectral density graphical, characteristic of non-stationary are shown, In Figure 33, the actual value for the residual of Hong Kong against South Korea is plotted. As several degrees of fluctuations were shown around th e mean which implies that there is cointegration within the data. As the graphical analysis contradict the the OLS estimation at level terms I(0), thus, further analysis in first difference level is needed to carry out. OLS estimation at the first differences I (1). Table 10 shows the OLS estimation of Hong Kong and South Korea at I(1). The result of Durbin-Watson statistics is 1.51 which suggests that autocorrelation may exists within the regression. In Table 11, The unit root test showed the result for the residual of Hong Kong against South Korea at first difference level. The least AIC-value is -4.267 and its corresponding t-adf value is -3.718. It is within the5% critical value. Therefore, the exchange rate and the consumer price index for Hong Kong and South Korea may exist cointegration. In figure 34, the analysis of correlogram and the spectral density graph shows that there are signs of cointegration for the residual for Hong Kong against South Korea at first difference level. From Figure 35, the actual value of the residuals is plotted. The regression itself may contain cointegration as there is some degree of fluctuations around the mean. I believe that the residual at I(0) is affected by the Asian Financial crisis happened in 1997, as one outlier is showed in the actual value plot. According to the analysis we did in table 6, the form of PPP between Hong Kong against Japan is showed to be weak. The constant (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±) is 0.0342385, the slope coefficient (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) is 0.377666 and (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2) is -0.640497. (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) is not near to 1 and (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2) does not reach to -1. As a result, in a situation that the weak form of PPP exists, given a unchanged HK CPI and a increasing CPI of Japan. The exchange rate of Hong Kong dollar against Japanese Yen will increase. The currency of Hong Kong will stronger than the currency of Japan. For instance, Hong Kong has an inflation, the purchasing power for the Hong Kong currency will reduce. Meanwhile, with the same amount of HKD, fewer amounts of goods and services can be consumed in Japan. The exchange rate of HKD/JPY must increase to maintain the purchasing power of Hong Kong Dollar in Japan. For the other test we did in table 10, the constant (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±) is 0.0205733, the slope coefficient (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) is 0.452422 and (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2) is -1.08451. (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1) is far away from 1 but (ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2) is much closer to -1. Due to the ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1 ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚   -ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2 ÃÆ' ¢Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ °Ãƒâ€šÃ‚   1, thus the obtained performance for the PPP between Hong Kong and South Korea is still a weak form. Frenkel  [3]  (1981) states that two countries are geographically close together, their PPP should also be relatively close. It is due to the low barrier of trade. According to the econometric modelling, the coefficients of the OLS estimation showed that my analysis for the PPP of Hong Kong against Japan and Hong Kong against South Korea is not a good indicator for predicting the long run exchange rate. Even though the exchange rate and consumer price index did exist cointegration relationship, however both the value of ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±, ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1 and ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2 is unsuccessful to match strong and the weaker form of PPP. Referring to the PPP in weak form, in the case for Hong Kong against Japan and Hong Kong against South Korea, both value of ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ± was close to 0. Nevertheless, ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1 for both regressions were not near to +1 and the R-squares of both analyses were comparatively low. That may be caused by some sort of error within the economic modelling. Through the actual value plot, we may discover that the Asian Financial crisis which happened in 1997 had played a major role in creating outliers within my residuals. This may explain the poor performance of my PPP analysis. Also, as the exports markets for Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea are likely to be the same, for instance, the mainland China and the USA. In recent past, the service sector within the GDP of Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea has accounts for 88%, 73.1% and 67.7% respectively  [4]  . The key components of service sector are included shipping, wholesale retail trade and financial services. When you compare the relationship between the main industries in Hong Kong against Japan and Hong Kong against South Korea, it is no doubt to say that they are electronics, chemicals and textiles. Nevertheless, when constructing the price indices, different countries are always using various of goods and services. It means that the fairness of price index of two economies may be low, as they constructed by several of goods and services. Thus, a weak form of PPP is obtained in these three economy. Error Correction Model The error-correction model is based on the theorem of Granger representation. The model itself shows the crucial connection between cointegration and the error correction model. The reason is that when there is connection between the exchange rate and consumer price index in long run, a mechanism should be there to coordinate the exchange rate and the consumer price index back to their equilibrium level. Testable hypothesis: ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ St = a + but-1 + c1ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ pt-1+ c2ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒ ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ p*t-1 + ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ µt Where: ut = st ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ±- ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²1Pt +ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ ²2Pt* As series st, pt and pt* are usually non-stationary, so PPP implies cointegration. In Tables 12 and13, the trial and error process are showed. The parsimonious model for Hong Kong against Japan can be found by eliminating the larger t-probs. According to table 13, the parsimonious model from ADL modelling is being achieved. In theory, similar resul t would be given out even the methods of deriving the error correction model are different. Therefore, Engle and Granger two-step procedure is introduced to derive the parsimonious model. In order to test whether the error correction model are hold, OLS estimation is applied again . Through the OLS estimation, all the variables I tested are in log form and first difference level. Secondly, as the above estimation of OLS, I let the log variable of Hong Kong dollars against Japanese Yen be the St value. And in order to make my analysis be more accurate, the lag length for both log HK CPI and log Japan CPI in first difference level are changed to be 4. According to Table 14, we can see that the t-probs of numerous variables are greater than 0.05. As DLHKCPI_4 is 0.693. Therefore, those larger t-prob variables are needed to be eliminated and re-run the OLS estimation. In Table 15, the coefficient value of DLHK CPI_1 is -1.96949 and the t-prob is 0.006, and the DLJapan CPI_1 with t he coefficient value is 8.76664 and the t-prob is 0.002. The test summary in Table 16 shows all pass result for AR1-2 test, ARCH 1-1 test, normality test and the RESET test as no asterisk (*) is present. The value of Durbin-Watson test is 1.44 with 25 observations and 4 parameters. For the 5% significant leve, the lower bounds dL=1.04 and upper bounds dU =1.77. The value is within the lower and upper bounds. Therefore, the exchange rate and the consumer price index are shown to contain serial correlation. Let St be the log value of exchange rate in first difference level and ut-1be the lag value of residual. For the C1 should be DLHK CPI_1 and C2 be DLJapan CPI_2. Also, in the St (exchange rate) in one period corrected in next period, the proportion of the disequilibrium is showed by the value b. Hence, insert all variables within the formula, we may have; ÃÆ' ¢- ³St= 0.0512308+0.464698ut-1-1.96949ÃÆ' ¢- ³pt-1+8.76664ÃÆ' ¢- ³p*t-1+ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€š  µt According to the result of the equation above, positive coefficients for the CPI have shown in the short-run, and for the b value is 0.464698, inconsistency is showed between the actual value relationships in long run. Base on all passed tests result, we may conclude that the PPP tracks well within Hong Kong against Japan. In Table 17 and 18, the ADL Modelling results of the trial and error process ofHong Kong against South Korea are showed. Again repeating the same process for Hong Kong against Japan, the parsimonious model for Hong Kong against South Korea is derived. Through the result, it shows that further derivation of the model can be made in short run. Nevertheless, in order to check whether my ADL modelling is valid, Engle and Granger two step procedure is introduced for analysis. In Table 19, the regression result for the OLS model of the DLHKD/KRW in first difference level is showed. By taking the same step I used in the above analysis. We eliminate larger t-prob value and run the OLS estimation again. Therefore, DLHK CPI 2,3 and 4, also the DLSKR CPI 2,3and 4are being delected. From Table 20, The DW value is 1.19 with 25 observation and 4 parameters. From the Durbin-Watson significance table, we may find that the dL = 1.04 and the dU = 1.77. The DW value is within the lower and upper bounds. As a result, I believe that the data itself may contain serial correlation. Finally, the result for the Table 21 is being analysis. It shows that AR 1-2 test, the normality test and RESET test are all passed excepted the ARCH 1-1 test. Moreover, when all coefficients are inserted into the formula, we got; ÃÆ' ¢- ³St = -0.0425611+ 0.589508 ut-1-1.31079 ÃÆ' ¢- ³pt-1+ 1.81169ÃÆ' ¢- ³p*t-1+ÃÆ'Ã… ½Ãƒâ€šÃ‚ µt The results shows that there is a negative coefficients for the CPI in short- run, and the b-value is 1.81169,it shows inconsistency between the actual value relationships in long run. Conclusion Base on the econometric testing above, even though my data showed characteristics of nonstationarity and cointegrated. In long run, it is obvious that there is no relationship between Hong Kong and South Korea in purchasing power parity, according to my error correction model analysis; and also Hong Kong and South Korea. Therefore I need to examine the quality of the data and also some of the assumption. The consumer price index and the exchange rate of Hong Kong and Japan are showed to be cointegrated in the section of cointegration analysis, nevertheless, the error correction model had confirmed that the two countries do not contain long run relationship. As a result, the data itself cannot be used for forecasting and analysis. For Hong Kong against Japan, there may be flaws within my data due to the negative 1 coefficient. However, all variables in my project showed that the second differencing in the stationary analysis is the signs of stationary; which implies my regression could not assume as a spurious regression. Therefore, there could be a high possibility of the existence of other reasons which would affect the coefficients. Base on the same test I worked for Hong Kong against Japan, the exchange rate and consumer price index of Hong Kong and South Korea are showed to be cointegrated in the section of cointegration analysis, nevertheless, the error correction model also proved that the two countries do not contain long run relationship. From the first difference of actual value plot of residual, there were one major structural break within the data; we may consider that as the consequence of Asian Financial crisis in 1997. For these events, I believe that is the main reason for my failure of Error Correction Model. In order to improve the quality of the analysis, there is a need to increase the series length and identify the flaws of the data. Nevertheless, more structural breaks may result due to the extension of time period. Therefore, we should adding dummy variables within the analysis in an attempt to smooth out the outliers. Hence, to construct a more efficient research.

The Threat Of Global Warming - 988 Words

â€Å"It’s a well-kept secret, but 95 per cent of the climate models we are told prove the link between human CO2 emissions and catastrophic global warming have been found, after nearly two decades of temperature stasis, to be in error,† writes Maurice Newman, chief business advisor to Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott (Dunn). With this bold declaration, Australia thrust itself onto the international stage where it was widely criticized and condemned by the United Nations and environmental supporters worldwide. Already behind the world in climate change legislation, Australia quickly became the face of global warming denial. Maintenance of positive international relations is not so simple to achieve as the reaction to this statement shows. Modern technological advances have made our world smaller and instantaneous communication gives us knowledge of events, disasters or political blunders as they are happening. 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Safety and Efficacy of Pharmacist System †Free Samples to Students

Question: Discuss about the Safety and Efficacy of Pharmacist System. Answer: Introduction: The chief information officer (CIO) of the Volkswagen of America (VMoA) placed the phone in its cradle and was relaxed. The call was directed towards one of his peers of the Executive Leadership team (ELT) (Fu et al. 2016) The result, which was obtained from the call, was the generation of a new prioritization process a list of all the IT projects, which would be funded in the year 2004. The projects was revealed few days earlier. In this context, a new type of storm was being generated in the organization. The main conversation, which was done in the telephonic conversation, was the very much similar putting emphasis on the concern relating to the concerned areas within the organization, which were not funded. Some of the members had view, which were repetitive relating to the prioritization process by the people who worked for them about the categorization mistakes, which were done which resulted in penalty of the business units. The main factor, which can be stated here, is that most of the calls ended on a note of informal request of putting an unfunded project into the work plans of the IT department. The 10-business unit, which comprised of the Volkswagen of America (VMoA) had project proposed which were more than 40 with a total funding requirement of total $210 million (US). A budget ranging of an amount of $60(an amount which was capped by VWAG which is a parent company of VMoA). The pushback, which was generated relating to the new process, was very much surprising. The new system would make the tradeoff very much explicit and the project link and the core processes of business management it affected the organizations corporate goals (Cuenca and Boza 2015). To implement the next round of growth the members of the organization and the strategy corporation group at the VMoA in collaboration with the gedesUSA, created a framework of business architecture, which was of high level. The architecture, which was involved into the concept explicitly, depicted the resources, which are key for the enterprise in order to answer the simple question relating to why, how, when, who, what, where and when. The architecture helped the strategy to clearly understand the relation, which can be applied to the different elements. In order to develop the business strategy taking into consideration the new system, the VMoA builder a new blueprint if the business. The business architecture included the following: A function model, which is hierarchical, that displayed all the major activities, which were involved in the corporation. A prioritized and hierarchical view of the major goals (56) across the working of the organization. A model of enterprise, which was mapped to the function. A enterprise inventory of information A current system of state inventory, which is mapped to all the major enterprise related functions management (Fu et al. 2016). Several entities of the organization would be playing a dominating role in the concept of managing and creating a new process for the managing aspect of the priorities at the VMoA. The ELT was very much responsible for the primary responsibility for the execution the NRG program that was related to the new IT Governance process. In order to guide and approve the process, which were related to the process of IT prioritization and project selection an IT steering committee (ITSC) was formed (Cuenca and Boza 2015). The PMO worked with the working with their team members who had developed the strategy to arrive at the process of detailed examination for the concept of moving through the process if prioritization and selection. The digital business council (DBC) which was composed of representative from the team of the e business unit would be involved in work, which was considered difficult. The difficult work mainly included the task of assessing the business impact, project categorizat ion, making trade off decisions and discerning their alignment with the goal of the organization. A stage was reached where appropriate final list was prepared for the funding of the project. The entire process was accepted to be broken down into three parts whose tenure would be three months mainly in the month of July to September (Kloeckner et al. 2018). To start the actual process of the project the PMO had put out a formal call for the projects with due date for the concept of approval. In the month of July before the business request were required to be made by the PMO, the corporate strategy team with the gedas strategy consultant facilitated a workshop with the members of the DBC. The main aim of the workshop was to convey the DBC members about the funding and the extent to which the increase in the number of the funding which would be increased. Each of the technology and business would be directly mapped against the architecture of the business to make explicit the business function, which would be directly affected and the major goals, which would be involved in the initiatives. In the meeting, the business body would be stating the basic need and the requirement of the funding and present their proper initiative action and functionality, which would be working for the betterment of the business working. Some of the units of the business were very much uncomfortable as they were associated with the project with goal of the enterprise. The leader of each of the business unit is an ELT member. When a project is associated with an enterprise goal, the main point, which would be taken into consideration, is that it would be weakening or strengthening the enterprise level case relating to the project. There are a concept of achieving a temptation of thinking about the different ways, which can be associated with the project so that it would be enhancing the sector of improved chances of funding. At the end of the thinking process, the group speculated about the amount relating to the budget of the IT Project. A rough amount of $60 million were available altogether, $16 million fund were kept aside in order maintain the concept of stay in business concept. Most of the infrastructure project, which were under the discretion of the CIO matulovuc another amount of $30 million, would be directly funding the proje ct of the enterprise, this directly left around $14 million for the high priority unit of the business project (Fu et al. 2016). The calculations that can be considered back end envelope told the organization directly that the funding requirement for the entire top-level project exceeded the budget, which was estimated. There was no clear idea onto how the gap between the budget and the funding requirement. In order to provide the necessary recommendation the following points was stated to Matulovic and the ITSC. Should the organization drop the goals which are at a low ranked. Should the funding be equally distributed to each of the goals of the portfolio? Should the organization cut apart each of the portfolio and fund more projects which are associated with the most critical goals and fewer project, which are associated with the goals, which are less important. Should they recommend that the importance of the units of the business be revised relative to the enterprise priorities from the NRG (Kloeckner et al. 2018). Through the business architecture and the new process, it can be stated that there are several projects, which favored the units of the business, which was done so that the funding of the projects can be cut down. This directly gave an outcome towards the present business unit executives to present two options. The first option was to the organization could acknowledge that project from other areas which might be more important in order to achieve the goals of the enterprise and the second option could be that the organization could challenge the merit of the new methodology for the concept of prioritizing and selecting the project. In most of the cases, it was seen that option two was selected and the consideration of adopting the one option was neglected in the maximum time (Kloeckner et al. 2018). The main concept, which can be applied to the project not getting the appropriate funding, was the concept of the prioritization. Most of the value was recognized at the global level in the organization and was not included in the VWoA level of importer. It can be stated here that taking into consideration the local USA based business the value of the project was focused on the performance of the warehouse which could not be directly be related to the topmost ranked NRG related goals. The new process was very much poorly served the project according to Matulovic. The option relating to this concept was very much few. He could directly try to find funding from other funding projects and involve more time into the concept of supply flow project. The solution in this aspect could have been that argument of the funding can be done in this context, which would be searching for alternative of options. He could have even used the project as a wedge to drive into the prioritization of the process in order to reopen it. There are three types of investment, which were mainly: Stay in business (SIB): This type of action is needed for the purpose of legislative directly to maintain continuity of business or can be overly mandated by the parent organization. Example of this type of investment may include customer privacy efforts (legislated) or the concept of disaster recovery (business continuity). Return on investment (ROI): This type of action predicted the concept of cost saving, gain in productivity and /or revenue generating result. This directly needs to sufficiently exceed the part of the investment, which included the initial step-up investment and the ongoing operation and maintenance. For example the user may install a new system due to the concept that the maintenance factor which is done annually and the cost relating to it would be around 50% lower as compared to the system which is preexisting. Option creating environment (OCI): similar to the ROI but compared to it very less certain about the cost saving and or revenue generation. The aspect can be considered very much risky taking into consideration the anticipation of discovering a new execution process or method that can lead to competitive advantage for the business. At this time this all would be prototype which when implemented would result in greater implementation which can be justified via ROI criteria. On the other hand, it can be stated that there are three technological application types, which are majorly: Base enterprise IT platform: Infrastructure tools and services or common external applications which are developed and utilities that are used across different companies (internet based communication, data warehouse and desktop application tools). Enterprise application: Company system, which are specific that directly, provide broad functionality or the information, which is used throughout the enterprise. Customized point solution: The system and the solution are very much target application but not directly recognized as very much useful across the enterprise. The application and the investment type would directly influence how particular investment under the consideration would be treated in the selection and prioritization process. Ones proposal were prepared for each if the business unit leadership ranks them according to the priority. Some of the business units were very much uncomfortable as the project, which are associated with priority (Gonzlez-Ruiz, Duque and Botero 2017). The business unit manager assumed that as in the past years they would at a minimum gain approval for their most project, which are highly priority. Some of the business unit are very much uncomfortable as they associate the projects with the goals of the enterprise the leader of the business was an ELT member and thus realized that the assigning project to the NRG goals ranked implicit in their importance to VMoA. By means of associating a project to a goal of the enterprise. Initiatives that had been directly grouped in the phase 1 as having synergies, which a re significant, were rolled out as potential project of enterprise. They remained in the unit of the business individual portfolios with the note of dictating removal from the business unit portfolio if the enterprise project was approved. Thus, another way to get the project approved was to gain its inclusion in an enterprise project that has a good chance of getting the approval (McGonigal, Giuliano and Hurren 2017). As the overall project list changed due to the dependencies and the creation of the enterprise projects, the DBC representative reshuffled the projects. It can be stated here that some of the business units most important projects were officially not viable until the year 2005 or later. Others would be considered as corporate projects. Therefore, business units representative needed to reprioritize needed to reprioritize their proposal for 2004. The group directly agreed that each of the business units would identify the most important aspect of the project, which are mainly stated according to three, points (Gonzlez-Ruiz, Duque and Botero 2017). The group of the business agreed that each of the business units would be directly under the provison of the business bodies. The decision of moving on with the IT projects was considered and the strategy, which would be involved into the concept, was very much clear. The main factoe, which mainly made the process lengthy, was one of the implementation of the strategy. Most of the people which are related to the concept agreed that the strategy should which would be driving the business was the IT strategy. The decision relating to the business IT needs was not involved into the working in the starting of the organization but later on the need of the IT infrastructure was taken into consideration (McGonigal, Giuliano and Hurren 2017). Taking into consideration about the ELT they were either not around when the concept had arrived or had forgotten to withhold the investment relating to the IT to support the market incentives. Matulovic knows that the problem would be affecting the condition of the peer to view IT as an approach, which is very much expensive and would be involving lots of research into the fi eld. The organization was not very much sure, of what the basic need from the implementation of the IT infrastructure would be doing to the overall working of the organization (Gonzlez-Ruiz, Duque and Botero 2017). Matulovic had gathered some of the information regarding the concept from few of the phone calls which he made in order to get the overview of the system and how the implementation of the system would be done and the final outcome of the implementation. The situation, which was faced by Matulovic, was very much difficult as it brought into together many challenges (Bagci and Tekalp 2016). The situation which was faced by the Matulovic was very much crucial as the concept of the setting of the proprieties can be considered very much a difficult task to take into consideration. Most of the people who was involved into the working of the business stated that they want to get highly involved in the decision making process. The main factor of emphasis was that the concept would be giving equal right to everyone and the right of putting forward individual suggestion could be given. In most of the situation, it is seen that the people tend to forget actually, why the decision of taking up a step is taken. This directly affect the overall working of the project due to the factor that the actual goal of the project would not be taken into consideration in this aspect. The concept of funding can be considered very much important so that proper working of the project can be executed. It can be considered as an obstacle funding in any type of project can be considered very much i mportant as it directly involves the aspect of the proper working of the project. The main factor which could be taken into consideration in the aspect are the name of the IT infrastructure, changes it could impose on the overall working of the organization, the enterprise function that was being focused upon and the affected area which would be getting improved by the implementation (McGonigal, Giuliano and Hurren 2017). References Adama, O., 2017. Urban imaginaries: funding mega infrastructure projects in Lagos, Nigeria. GeoJournal, pp.1-18. Bagci, K.T. and Tekalp, A.M., 2016, August. Managed video services over multi-domain software defined networks. In Signal Processing Conference (EUSIPCO), 2016 24th European (pp. 120-124). IEEE. Cadogan, D., 2014. Funding for research? Look to the crowd: crowdfunding resources for academia. College Research Libraries News, 75(5), pp.268-271. Cuenca, L. and Boza, A., 2015. Public funding in RD projects: opportunities for companies. In INTED2015 Proceedings (pp. 2194-2199). International Academy of Technology, Education and Development (IATED). Deng, H. and Xu, J., 2017. The analysis on the funding of Natural Science Foundation of China for acupuncture projects from 2005 to 2015. Zhongguo zhen jiu= Chinese acupuncture moxibustion, 37(5), pp.550-554. Fu, H., Wu, Z., Li, J., Zhang, X.P. and Brandt, J., 2016. A Configurable $mu $ VPP With Managed Energy Services: A Malmo Western Harbour Case. IEEE Power and Energy Technology Systems Journal, 3(4), pp.166-178. Gonzlez-Ruiz, J.D., Duque, E. and Botero, S., 2017. The Process of Funding Highway Projects in Colombia: Outlook and Challenges. Institute of Transportation Engineers. ITE Journal, 87(8), p.30. Kloeckner, K., Adam, C.M., Anerousis, N., Ayachitula, N., Bulut, M.F., Dasgupta, G., Deng, Y., Diao, Y., Fuller, N., Gopisetty, S. and Hernandez, M., 2018. Building a cognitive platform for the managed IT services lifecycle. IBM Journal of Research and Development, 62(1), pp.8-1. McGonigal, K.H., Giuliano, C.A. and Hurren, J., 2017. Safety and Efficacy of a Pharmacist?Managed Patient?Controlled Analgesia Service in Postsurgical Patients. Pain Practice, 17(7), pp.859-865. Pommier, T., Cantarel, A.A., Grigulis, K., Lavorel, S., Legay, N., Baxendale, C., Bardgett, R.D., Bahn, M., Poly, F. and Clment, J.C., 2018. The added value of including key microbial traits to determine nitrogen?related ecosystem services in managed grasslands. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(1), pp.49-58. Siaw, M.Y.L., Toh, J.H. and Lee, J.Y.C., 2018. Patients perceptions of pharmacist-managed diabetes services in the ambulatory care and community settings within Singapore. International Journal of Clinical Pharmacy, pp.1-9. Tesio, L., Simone, A., Grzeda, M.T., Ponzio, M., Dati, G., Zaratin, P., Perucca, L. and Battaglia, M.A., 2015. Funding Medical Research Projects: Taking into Account Referees Severity and Consistency through Many-Faceted Rasch Modeling of Projects Scores. Journal of applied measurement, 16(2), pp.129-152.

Socrates Essays (1092 words) - Socratic Dialogues,

Socrates Socrate's First Accusers and Athenian Law Of all confrontations in political philosophy, the biggest is the conflict between philosophy and politics. The problem remains making philosophy friendly to politics. The questioning of authoritative opinions is not easily accomplished nor is that realm of philosophy - the pursuit of wisdom. Socrates was the instigator of the conflict. While the political element takes place within opinions about political life, Socrates asks the question "What is the best regime and how should I live?" Ancient thought is riddled with unknowns and can make no such statement as "how should I live." The Socratic philosophy offers an alternative and prepares the way for the alternative of absolutes. This alternative is not without its faults. Socratic philosophy is plagued by a destructive element. It reduces the authoritative opinions about political life but replaces it with nothing. This is the vital stem from which the "Apology of Socrates" is written. Because of the stinging attack on Athenian life, and the opinions which they revere so highly, Socrates is placed on trial for his life. The question now becomes why and in what manner did Socrates refute the gods and is he quilty? Socrates, himself, speaks out the accusers charges by saying "Socrates does injustice and is meddlesome, by investigating the things under the earth and the heavenly things, and by making the weaker the stronger and by teaching others these things" (Plato, 19b;c). This is the charge of the "old" accusers. It is seen from an example in "The Clouds". Strepsiades goes to Socrates in order to learn how to pursuade his son by "making the weaker speech the stronger" (Aristophanes, 112). Why does Socrates remind the assembly about the old accusers? It appears improper for a man on trial to bring about his other 'crimes'. Aristophanes, in particular, is implicated by Socrates as an old accuser. "For you yourselves used to see these things i n the comedy of Aristophanes" (Plato, 19c). The poets helped to shape Greek culture. Poetry was passed on and perpetuated the city where thought constantly changed. Philosphy begins in debunking what the city thinks they know in order to refute the god. It is evident that Socrates is not guided by the gods of the city. Socrates says "it is not part of the same man to believe in daimonian and divine things" (Plato, 27e). Socrates is subtly admitting his guilt. Perhaps Socrates believs in gods, but if so, they are not the gods of the city. Socrates simply denies that he has had any part in celestial or subterranean inquiry - he simply speaks "elsewhere". Socrates goes on to say that those who do are reported to be atheists. However, Socrates says that "Zeus does not eveeen exist" (Aristophanes, 367). Socrates replaces Zeus with nature, the permanent and necessary things accessable to reason. This is an outrage to any Athenian. To deny the gods is to deny faith and ultim ately the authoritarian opinions on which their politics is based. Why does Socrates think that he is being unjustly punished? Chaerophon had told Socrates that the Pythian Oracle had said that Socrates was the wisest man. Socrates admits that "I am conscious that I am not wise, either much or little" (Plato, 20b). Socrates wonders what the riddle is and sets out to "refute the divination" (Plato, 20c). This is a prime example of Socrates' impiousness as is his statement in "The Clouds" where he states "we don't credit Gods" (Aristophanes, 248). He is attempting to refute the god at Delphi. Socrates tries to aid his own defense by charging that what he does is in devotion to the god. "Even now I still go around seeking and investigating in accordance with the god" (Plato, 23b). Socrates makes this brash statement yet it is unfounded and untrue because it is not a devine order for Socrates to pursue this line of investigation. In opposition, Socrates asserts that the da imonian did not oppose him. Socrates' impiety is not the only thing that resulted in histrial. Socrates was "the gadfly" stinging the city of Athens. When Socrates proposes that the god sent him on his quest, he set out to prove it wrong. In